地震局称银川进入地震窗口期免费完整版在线
2025-01-02 21:45:12
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《地震局称银川进入地震窗口期免费完整版在线》 演员表
科学前沿观天下 笃学明理洞寰宇 科学前沿观天下 笃学明理洞寰宇 2月13日晚,日本千岛群岛海域发生里氏7.0级地震。尽管此次强震未对日本本土造成太大威胁,却再一次让所有日本人担忧起来。就在20多天前,科学家已经发出警告:日本应该再次为100年一遇的特大地震做好准备,一场毁灭性的地震随时可能将在未来几十年内袭击日本本土(东京湾地区)。 据日本官方估计,东京这个拥有超过3800万人口的超级城市通常每100年就会遭受一次特大破坏性地震的袭击,在如此规模的地震中可能导致多达10000人丧生,数以百万计的人受灾被困。更严重的是,科学家们认为这场地震的窗口期已经临近,甚至“逾期”。换句话说,在未来30年内,东京地区随时可能遭遇一场巨大的强震! 每100年就会遭受一次特大破坏性地震的袭击 日本位于环太平洋火山地震带(火环)的关键部分,至少三个构造板块在日本相撞,这使日本成为了致命的地震热区,天生自带地震光环。这些板块的积压或碰撞会导致地壳中积聚应力,而这些应力则会因地壳破碎而突然释放。更重要的是,日本地表的土质松软、地壳脆弱,当冲击波到达地面时会产生放大效应,最终造成毁灭性的灾难。 很多日本研究人员和机构已经发表了对未来三年日本地震和相关地面震动可能性的估计。结果显示,未来几十年内东京发生潜在破坏性地震的可能性很高。苏格兰斯特拉斯克莱德大学的约翰·道格拉斯博士警告称,在下一场东京特大地震中,我们面临的问题是“何时”而不是“是否”!这一观点同样得到了著名地震学家Anthony Lomax的认同。 自2011年日本9.0级大地震以来,日本在抗震基础设施方面取得了长足发展。严格的设计规范意味着新建筑可以承受强度更高的地震。成熟、先进的地震预警系统也在此期间建立完善。例如,一旦检测到大地震,新干线高铁就会自动紧急制动,防止火车因强烈震动而脱轨。但这一切,尚需等待下一次大地震的检验。 尽管日本处于全球抗击地震的最前线,但地质学家们仍警告说:下一次袭击东京的大地震将是日本“自第二次世界大战以来遭受的最惨重的灾难”!日本官方数据显示,到2050年之前,东京发生7.0级地震的几率约为70%。而一场袭击东京湾的7.3级地震可能导致9700人丧生,超过300,000座建筑物被摧毁,339万人被迫撤离。 问题的关键在于,大地震是否会引起海啸。要知道,在2011年日本311大地震中死亡的近16,000人中,约有93%被海啸夺去生命。且2011年地震对日本造成的直接经济损失超过1000亿美元,专家估计下一次的数字可能是2011年的三倍。 作者/朱张航宇 责编/朱张航宇 信息源:HNK、The Sun 举报/反馈